Is a recession coming in 2020?
The chance of a US recession in 2020 has increased dramatically.
Good Judgment forecasters’ estimates of a US recession by the end of March 2021.
Will the recession hit 2019?
If we have a recession begin in 2019 or 2020, Federal Reserve over-reaction will likely be a cause. A severe recession in Europe would not, by itself, trigger a recession in the U.S., though it would slow down economic growth. Financial crisis seems unlikely.
Will we have a recession?
The U.S.—and most of the developed world—hasn’t seen a recession since the financial crisis. According to data from the NBER, quarterly growth in U.S. GDP has been positive since the second quarter of 2014 and generally hovers around 2.0%, except for the fourth quarter of 2015 and first quarter of 2019.
Will there be a recession soon?
In an August 2019 survey of 226 economists conducted by the National Association for Business Economics, 38 percent of respondents said they believe the U.S. will enter its next recession in 2020, and 34 percent picked 2021; only 14 percent say it will occur after that.